Direct Speech

International Internet Magazine. Baltic States news & analytics Monday, 26.09.2016, 01:33

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Latvian goods export does not have a serious engine

Latvian goods export does not have a serious engine


According to the data of the Central Statistical Bureau, in July 2016, the Latvian external goods trade turnover dropped by 2% month-on-month, with goods export and import dropping by 3.0% and 1.1% respectively. Year-on-year, the export and import value of goods dropped by7.4% and11.9% respectively.

Keyword tags: Analytics, Banks, Direct Speech, Export, Latvia, Statistics

Declining investments and Brexit to slow down Lithuania’s economic growth

Declining investments and Brexit to slow down Lithuania’s economic growth


This year, Lithuania’s economy expanded more than last year; however, deteriorating investments and the UK’s decision to leave the European Union (EU) will hinder economic growth. Increasing household income and the expected rise in domestic consumption will offset the negative factors.

The 12-month inflation still 'hesitating' on the first step in Latvia

The 12-month inflation still 'hesitating' on the first step in Latvia


According to the data of the Central Statistical Bureau, the consumer price level in August was slightly lower month-on-month, due to seasonal factors (by 0.7%), but remained the same year-on-year. The low inflation still reflects supply-side factors, slower economic growth does not create the conditions for the rise in demand and pressure on prices. Therefore, it is expected that in the coming months inflation, albeit positive, will remain low.

Low investment activity continues to hinder growth in Latvia

Low investment activity continues to hinder growth in Latvia


For a second consecutive quarter, weak investment activity has substantially impeded economic growth. The information published by the Central Statistical Bureau indicates that gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter grew only by 0.6% (seasonally and workday adjusted data at constant prices) quarter-on-quarter, with the year-on-year growth reaching only 0.8%. Compared to the flash estimate published in July, the quarterly growth has been improved by 0.2 p.p. It however, fails to substantially impact the annual projections of GDP, as the previous quarters have also been revised.

Wage growth slowed in local government administration in Estonia

Wage growth slowed in local government administration in Estonia


The growth rate of gross monthly wages slowed a little, especially in local government administration. Given that productivity declined in the second quarter, growth in the average wage remained strong. The Structure of Earnings survey indicates that the wage level in Estonia was second behind that of Slovenia among the Central and East European countries in 2014.


ICT is almost a perfectly performing sector

Over the last few years, the information and communications technologies sector (ICT) has been among those with fastest growth. It is no secret that in recent years rapid expansion of different ICT services could be observed in Latvia: programming, data storage, development of mobile applications, development of various complex ICT solutions, etc. However, unlike retail trade or manufacturing, the sector usually is not in the spotlight of economic analysts and policy makers. This can be explained by the size of the sector – ICT only accounts for about 5% of the total value added, even though this level is close to the European Union's average. Nevertheless, the success of the sector should be noted: it is one of the fastest growing, with high productivity levels, high average salary, implementation of latest technologies, and other positive features.


The labour market improved in the second quarter in Estonia

Employment improved despite slow economic growth Registered unemployment increased in Ida-Virumaa The work ability reform is expected to boost registered unemployment and the labour force participation rate.


Contradictory US Pipeline Diplomacy

There is a striking paradox in Washington's policy on European natural gas markets. US diplomats are undertaking tireless efforts to prevent Russia constructing new export pipelines, arguing these massive projects will deprive Ukraine of billions of dollars in annual revenue from transit fees, which could wreck the struggling country's economy. At the same time the United States continues to preach the mantra of energy efficiency and supply diversification, both of which will help reduce reliance on Russian gas in Eastern Europe. Washington wants to help end Ukraine's dependence on Russian gas, yet it is fighting to keep Kiev dependent on Russian gas income. This is not only contradictory, but it is the wrong way to go about helping Ukraine and the wrong way to advance European energy security and integration in the long run.


Rietumu: after Brexit Latvia could pretend for registering companies from Britain

Currently, the attention of all those who work and conduct business in a united Europe is being paid to the behaviour of British authorities after Brexit. If the country withdraws from the EU, many thousands of companies incorporated in Britain are very likely to leave their legal motherland. And a certain share of this business can be bid for by Latvia.


An open letter from leading Europeans to Europe’s leaders

On the final day of the European Council on Foreign Relations' Annual Council Meeting, taking place in The Hague, a group of leading Europeans including former EU foreign ministers, former vice presidents of the European commission, former European commissioners, prominent parliamentarians, ambassadors and former ambassadors, central bank governors, and figures from academia, business and journalism, released the following open letter addressed to Europe’s leaders.


Nord Stream facing future. First article.

The new project Nord Stream 2 providing for the construction of another gas pipeline under the Baltic Sea has been actively discussed in different countries. BC offers its readers a series of articles on this hot topic with the comments of Romans Baumanis, Regional Adviser of Nord Stream 2 for the Baltic states. In the first article of the cycle, we talked about the operation of the first submarine pipeline Nord Stream 1, touching upon the reasons for the development of the second project.


Recommendations prior to possible Brexit

Experts of Rietumu Asset Management (RAM) make the recommendations prior to possible Brexit.


Politically exposed person from the point of view of the Latvian legislation

After the amendments to the Law on the Prevention of Money Laundering and Terrorism Financing entered into force on March 1, 2016 in Latvia, some of our clients applied to us with a request to comment on these amendments in terms of their compliance with the Constitution of the Republic of Latvia and the Declaration on the protection of fundamental human rights and freedoms.


Should Lithuanian retailers wait in trepidation of Lidl’s entrance?

One of the most important and anticipated events in grocery retail in Lithuania is the opening of Lidl stores in the local market. Some expect that Lidl will change the grocery retailing landscape in Lithuania completely, with its entry the subject of much discussion in Lithuania – however, is Lidl really such a threat to the leading grocery retailers in Lithuania?

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