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In December 2017, the consumer confidence indicator in Lithuania increased to – 8

Vida Stoškutė, Statistics Lithuania, 27.12.2017.Print version
Statistics Lithuania informs that in December 2017, the consumer confidence indicator stood at minus 8, and against November, increased by 2 percentage points.

Against November, expectations of residents for making at least some savings and changes in household financial and the country's economic situation were more optimistic, while those for changes in unemployment figures – more pessimistic.




Changes in the consumer confidence indicator and its components, balance

 

December
2017

November
2017

December2016

May 2001–December 2017 average

Largest since May 2001 

Smallest since May 2001 

Consumer confidence indicator

–8

–10

–5

−14.9

9
(2007-03)

−56
(2009-01)

Changes in the household’s financial situation in the coming 12 months

2

0

3

−4.1

13
(2007-03)

−38
(2009-01)

Changes in the country’s economic situation in the coming 12 months

–3

–6

6

−5.6

19
(2007-06)

−57
(2008-12)

Changes in the number of the unemployed in the coming 12 months

4

3

3

11.4

82
(2009-02)

−33
(2007-06)

Probability of making savings in the coming 12 months

–25

−33

–25

−38.3

−16
(2015-03)

−54
(2001-05)


In December, against November, percentage of those who expected to make at least some savings increased from 29 to 34%, while percentage of those who did not expect to make at least some savings decreased from 31 to 25%.


As regards the country’s economic situation, 26% of population expected the country’s economic situation to improve in the coming 12 months, 29% – expected it to deteriorate, while 42% – expected it to remain unchanged (in November, 24, 31 and 42% respectively).


Expectations of the residents for the changes in household’s financial situation also slightly improved: percentage of those expecting improvement in their household’s financial situation in the coming 12 months grew from 22 to 24%, while deterioration was expected by 17% (in November, 19%).


In December, against November, expectations of the residents for the changes in unemployment figures were slightly more pessimistic: the percentage of those expecting the number of the unemployed to increase in the coming 12 months grew from 29 to 31%, while 23% of population expected the number of the unemployed to decrease (in November, 25%).


Consumer confidence indicator in urban rural areas

In December, consumer confidence indicators in urban and rural areas did not differ. Against the previous month, in urban areas, the consumer confidence indicator grew by 1, in rural areas – 5 percentage points.


Expectations of both urban and rural population for the changes in the country’s economic and household financial situation as well as for making some savings in the coming 12 months were more optimistic.


Against November, opinion of urban population about changes in the number of the unemployed remained unchanged, while that of rural population was more pessimistic. The percentage of rural population expecting the number of the unemployed to increase in the coming 12 months grew from 30 to 37%.


Consumer confidence indicator, against the same period of the previous year

Over the year (December 2017, against December 2016), the consumer confidence indicator decreased by 3 percentage points. The decrease in the consumer confidence indicator was determined by more pessimistic assessment of the country’s economic situation: the percentage of population expecting deterioration in the country’s economic situation increased from 20 to 29%, while the percentage of those expecting improvement decreased from 33 to 26%.


Against the previous year, expectations of the residents for the changes in their household situation and in the number of the unemployed slightly deteriorated.


Compared to the previous year, opinion of the residents about possibility to make at least some savings in the coming 12 months remained unchanged.


Assessment of changes in the last 12 months and the current situation

In December, almost half (49%) of the population stated that their household financial situation in the last 12 months remained unchanged, 38% stated that it deteriorated, while 13% – that it improved (in November, 45, 39 and 16% respectively).


In December, the residents’ assessment of the changes in the country’s economic situation in the last 12 months was slightly better than in November: although the percentage of those who indicated an improvement in the country’s economic situation in the last 12 months remained unchanged (18%), yet the percentage of those who indicated significant deterioration in the country’s economic situation decreased from 13 to 10%.


As regards assessment of the current financial situation of the family, 35% of population stated that they made some savings, while each tenth resident indicated living on savings or borrowings (in November, 31 and 11% respectively).


In December, 28% of population intended to increase expenditure on such purchases as furniture or household appliances in the coming 12 months, 17% – expected to spend less than in the last 12 months (in November, 25 and 17% respectively).


The annex to the news release contains information on changes in the consumer confidence indicator and its components (answers to questions used to compile the indicator). Respective information on other EU countries is available on the European Commission’s website.


The consumer opinion survey is conducted on the 1st–15th days of each month by interviewing 1 200 individuals randomly sampled from the Population Register of the Republic of Lithuania. The consumer confidence indicator refers to the simple arithmetic mean of the balances of positive and negative answers to four questions (about changes in the financial situation of the household, the economic situation in the country, the number of the unemployed (with an opposite sign), and the probability of making savings in the coming 12 months).


The survey is partially funded by the EU.


The January consumer opinion survey results will be released on 29 January 2018.


For more information, see the Database of Indicators.


Table 1. Consumer confidence indicator, Balance

 

2016

2017

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

Total population

−5

−6

–10

–10

–11

–12

–12

–12

–9

–9

–11

–10

–8

Female

−6

−10

–13

–14

–13

–15

–14

–15

–12

–13

–12

–13

–12

Male

−3

−2

–7

–5

–9

–9

–9

–8

–7

–4

–9

–7

–2

Urban population

−5

−6

–10

–9

–11

–11

–11

–11

–8

–9

–9

–9

–8

Rural population

−5

−5

–11

–12

–12

–15

–13

–13

–12

–8

–13

–13

–8


Table 2. Opinion of the population about changes in the household’s financial situation in the coming 12 months
Per cent

 

2016

2017

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

Household’s financial situation in the coming 12 months will:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

significantly improve

0

0

1

1

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

1

0

slightly improve

23

20

18

20

17

18

18

16

17

18

19

21

24

remain unchanged

55

57

57

55

57

55

55

60

60

59

55

51

52

slightly deteriorate

13

14

17

15

17

16

19

15

16

16

16

16

15

significantly deteriorate

2

2

2

3

3

3

3

3

2

3

2

3

2

Balance

3

1

0

0

−3

−1

−3

–2

–2

–1

–1

0

2


Table 3. Opinion of the population about changes in the country’s economic situation in the coming 12 months

Per cent

 

2016

2017

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

Country’s economic situation in the coming 12 months will:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

significantly improve

0

1

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

slightly improve

33

30

23

24

22

20

22

20

24

25

24

23

25

remain unchanged

44

42

45

45

45

47

44

47

47

47

44

42

42

slightly deteriorate

17

20

24

23

24

24

24

23

22

22

23

25

25

significantly deteriorate

3

3

5

6

5

6

5

6

5

4

6

6

4

Balance

6

2

–5

–5

–5

–8

–6

–7

−4

−2

–5

–6

–3


Table 4. Opinion of the population about changes in the number of the unemployed in the coming 12 months
Per cent

 

2016

2017

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

Number of the unemployed in the coming 12 months will:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

significantly increase

2

3

3

4

4

4

4

4

3

2

3

3

3

slightly increase

27

26

31

34

26

30

29

31

28

28

29

26

28

remain unchanged

42

44

41

38

43

42

41

41

44

45

42

40

42

slightly decrease

23

21

20

20

22

20

21

18

20

20

19

24

22

significantly decrease

2

1

1

1

1

2

1

1

1

2

2

1

1

Balance

3

5

7

10

5

7

7

9

5

4

7

3

4


Table 5. Opinion of the population about the probability of making savings in the coming 12 months
Per cent

 

2016

2017

XII

I

II

III

IV

V

VI

VII

VIII

IX

X

XI

XII

Probability of making savings in the coming 12 months:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

very likely

2

3

2

3

2

1

2

2

1

2

2

2

2

quite likely

33

34

31

31

29

30

28

32

32

31

29

27

32

rather unlikely

36

34

39

35

33

35

38

34

40

36

39

36

38

absolutely unlikely

26

26

26

27

32

30

28

29

24

28

28

31

25

Balance

−25

−23

–28

–26

−32

−32

−31

–28

−27

–28

–30

–33

–25






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